After 11 weeks of the regular season, all 32 teams are still alive to make the playoffs, but that's something that could be changing in Week 12.
With a loss on Thanksgiving Day, the Detroit Lions could become the first team to officially be eliminated from playoff contention this year. However, it's not that simple. Even if the Lions lose, several other things would have to work against them Sunday for their elimination to happen.
For now, every team is still mathematically alive, which brings us to to this week's playoff projections. The projections here are based on data from number-cruncher Stephen Oh of SportsLine.com. Oh plugged some numbers into his SportsLine computer this week and then simulated the rest of the NFL season, and using those numbers, we were able to figure out the playoff chances for all 32 teams. We also projected the 14-team playoff field.
With that in mind, let's get to this week's playoff projections. Actually, before we do that, here's a mock draft that fans of the Jaguars, Jets, Texans and Lions might want to read. Although those four teams haven't been technically eliminated yet, the computer is basically giving them a 0% chance of making the playoffs, so a mock draft might be more exciting to read than this projection if you're a fan of one of those four teams.
For everyone else, let's get to the projection.
Note: Remember, this is a projection based on how we think the rest of the regular season will play out. If you want to see the current playoff standings, be sure to click here. For a breakdown of the current playoff picture, be sure to click here.
With that in mind, let's get to the projections..
AFC Playoff Projection
Here's a list of the playoff chances for all the other AFC teams (their percentage chances of getting into the playoffs is listed next to them in parentheses): Bengals (41.4%), Steelers (34.5%), Browns (22.8%), Broncos (14.8%), Raiders (10.4%), Dolphins (1.1%), Jaguars (0.0%), Jets (0.0%), Texans (0.0%).
Note: The Jets, Jaguars and Texans haven't been eliminated from playoff contention, but they have a 0% chance of making it because the computer hates them. Actually, the computer doesn't love or hate, it has no feelings, it just doesn't think there's a mathematical chance for any of those teams to make it.
NFC Playoff Projection
Here's a list of the playoff chances for all the other NFC teams (their percentage chances of getting into the playoffs is listed next to them in parentheses): Eagles (41.5%), Saints (37.0%), Panthers (8.2%), Washington (7.8%), Giants (3.7%), Seahawks (3.5%), Falcons (2.9%), Bears (0.4%), Lions (0%).
Wild-card round projection
AFC
(7) Colts at (2) Ravens
(6) Chiefs at (3) Bills
(5) Patriots at (4) Chargers
Bye: Titans
NFC
(7) Vikings at (2) Packers
(6) 49ers at (3) Cowboys
(5) Rams at (4) Buccaneers
Bye: Cardinals
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November 24, 2021 at 07:20PM
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2021 NFL Playoff Picture: Here are the projected postseason chances for all 32 teams heading into Week 12 - CBSSports.com
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